The hottest national waste price in 2018 may not e

In 2018, the national waste price may not exceed 2500 yuan/ton, and the paper price is difficult to return to the low level

release date: 2 the handling site of aluminum materials actually does not need workers source: China good packaging editor: Yu Jia browse times: 2941 copyright and disclaimer

core tip: after waiting for a long time, a small upsurge in the paper industry before the Spring Festival has finally been set off, and the scope has gradually expanded, and has spread from East and central China to g, lb to North China. On January 11, 2018, Shahe Jinxin Paper Co., Ltd., located in Hebei Province, announced an increase of 200 yuan per ton for A-level high-strength corrugated products from January 13, 2018

[China Packaging News] waiting for a long time, a small upsurge in the paper industry before the Spring Festival has finally been set off, and the scope has gradually expanded, and has spread from East and central China to North China. On January 11, 2018, Shahe Jinxin Paper Co., Ltd., located in Hebei Province, announced an increase of 200 yuan per ton for A-level high-strength corrugated products from January 13, 2018

such a market makes many people predict the overall trend of 2018. According to the analysis of some institutions, since nearly 40% of the paper mills have not obtained emission permits, it is difficult to form an effective supply by adding new production capacity, and the import of waste paper is limited, the overall price of domestic waste paper in 2018 may be in yuan/ton. Affected by this, the price of packaging paper will not be too low

nearly 40% of paper mills have not obtained emission permits, and large paper mills have benefited significantly.

according to the data of paper enterprises included in environmental statistics by the Ministry of environmental protection, as of January 7, 2018, the number of paper enterprises that have not obtained emission permits accounts for about 36.26%, and nearly 40% of them should bear historical responsibility for this. Since the trial implementation in January 2017, there are still so many enterprises in the paper industry that have not obtained emission permits, which is evident in the difficulty of obtaining them

on second thought, it seems to be reasonable: on the one hand, environmental protection is unprecedentedly strengthened, and the issuance of pollutant discharge permits involves a wide range of areas and many approved contents, so the speed of issuance must be relatively slow; On the other hand, small paper mills are relatively weak, lack of financial capacity, and unable to undertake large-scale environmental protection equipment to meet the national emission standards, which is naturally difficult to obtain

the final result is likely to be the gradual elimination of small paper mills due to environmental problems. And its lost customers will inevitably move to large paper mills with complete environmental protection facilities and obvious scale effect

the strong will always be strong. In the future, the concentration of the paper industry will be higher, and the bargaining power and overall strength of large paper mills will be greatly enhanced

in 2018, the national waste price may not exceed 2500 yuan/ton, and the paper price is difficult to return to the low level

the paper market affected by this will also change imperceptibly. As far as 2018 is concerned, it is difficult for paper prices to continue to rise sharply without considering sudden factors. However, in terms of comprehensive environmental protection policies, capacity expansion and industry trends, the price of national waste may be in yuan/ton in 2018. Although the price of packaging paper as a whole cannot be compared with the high price in 2017, it is also difficult to return to the low level

according to customs statistics, in the first 12 years of 2017, consideration should be given to fillers: on the one hand, the micro shape of fillers is best spherical, and the actual amount of imported waste in one month only decreased by 4.2% year-on-year. During that period, the price of domestic waste paper rose rapidly, and further drove the rise of paper prices. The reasons are likely to be human factors and panic caused by the uncertainty of the future waste paper import policy. Therefore, the future waste paper price may be:

with the implementation of the list of the first and second batch of solid waste raw material import licenses in 2018, the anxiety of the papermaking and packaging industries about external waste has been alleviated to a certain extent. It is difficult for the national waste price to rise to more than 3000 yuan/ton as in October 2017

however, the overall trend in the future is still the import restriction of waste paper, the decline of external dependence and the gradual increase of the proportion of domestic waste to replace overseas waste paper. Therefore, the national waste price is unlikely to be below 2000 yuan/ton. Generally speaking, the national waste price center may be at yuan/ton

in addition, after analysis and judgment, some securities institutions believe that according to the current launch situation, the new papermaking capacity in 2018 is about 5.5 million tons, and the actual output is about 2.5 million tons according to the pace of production. The increased production capacity is difficult to form an effective supply, and the actual impact on the supply and demand of the industry is limited

superimposed on the continuous elimination of small production capacity by environmental protection and the national waste price mentioned above, the packaging price in 2018 will not fall to a low level, although it is difficult to compare with the high price in 2017